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Rusty Mansell ●
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Travis Reier ●
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Lucky said...
On one hand a succession plan looks good and makes public sense, but for some reason my gut says its a no go at Alabama. First, they really don't have much teeth. If a high level job -- and that is what we are talking about -- comes around and Saban hasn't already announced he's retiring, Smart will leave and take the job, as long as it meets his three standards (1. Control 2. Location 3. Money). Also to consider, Saban is "the man" at Alabama. He is "the show" as some have called him. I don't think he is the succession plan type of coach if you know what I mean. That's not a bad thing, its just the way it is. I don't think there will be a public notification or title, but the succession plan will be done privately in the form of Benjamins.
This post was edited by Travis Reier on 2/22/2013 at 7:59 AM
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Lucky said...
1.2 base with SEC championship and BCS title incentives and 1.5 w/ incentives in year 2 -- two year deal if I was AD. No need for a crazy increase this year -- you already have him. Add the jump in year 2, give him something to think about when the pretty girls come calling next December/early January.
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bamabiscuit
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Lucky said...
Great post Travis and excellent thoughts. I've heard rumblings that an increase was coming for Smart and the other assistants as well, but I haven't heard any numbers. The higher that number goes -- with his age and current responsibilities -- its going to take a high level job to lure him away. Also, I don't see him being a "pro guy" either. SEC or high level ACC job???
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sercrimson
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1tide
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Travis Reier said...
And with more and more revenue streams coming in the next few years, there will be even more of it. One area I'm actually concerned about: ticket sales. Technology and ever-expanding TV coverage is keeping more fans at the house. Of course, the networks are forking over so much cash for broadcast rights, it may not even matter.
TR
This post was edited by Lucky on 2/22/2013 at 8:42 AM
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Lucky said...
Totally agree Travis. Ticket sales are 100 per going to be a problem (i believe even at schools like Alabama). Amazing technology and decline in discretionary spending is going to put a hurtin' soon. The NFL model of controlling supply and demand for decades is brilliant. Turn seats into suites and stop adding seats... Haha. Stadium expansion is going to bite ADs soon.
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Travis Reier said...
Yep. Overbuilt stadiums and wait until the playoff starts. How many fans are going to be able to afford season tickets/travel and then pull off the SEC title game, national semi and national final in succession? It's the ticket bubble.
TR
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Travis Reier said...
True, but as you alluded to, if one guy is getting interviewed for head jobs at SEC schools and his defense is the best in college football, his market value is likely to be a good bit different than that of a position coach. Chavis is going to be at $1.1 next season. I can't see Smart being under that. That said, Burns deserves to be the highest paid coach at his position. About that there is no debate.
TR
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BAMAMANAGER said...
if they don't play the semi's at a home stadium (and even if they do) they will be very poorly attended IMO...only those with corporate perks (giveaways), locals picking up cheap tickets would attend. I can't see forking out the coin for one ever, regardless of location...game is meaningless in the grand scheme of things.
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BAMAMANAGER said...
The rate at which this appear to be going you are looking at UGA, UF, LSU, A&M in the SEC...VT, FSU, maybe UNC in the ACC and I think the list shrinks every year. I also think he might be in play at Texas after Mack if they don't get the household name they think they can...I shudder at the thought of what the man could do at Texas given the fertile recruiting ground in that state and their facilities and income.
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Travis Reier said...
Oh, I don't think it would be something UA/Saban would make public (like Mack did with Muschamp). Hence, the inclusion of "(without actually saying it)" in my comments. As for what kind of job Smart would be willing to take, it's looking like a very small pool of jobs. Probably have to be something along the lines of what Muschamp left Texas for. When/if he leaves, it'll be for a place where he knows he can attract elite talent and win. He's got the luxury of sitting tight until a slamdunk gig opens up.
TR
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***After seeing what LSU threw at Cam Cameron....