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Currently Auburn sits at a -16 or -17 depending on who's giving odds. Give me your honest assessment of how this game plays out. Does Auburn cover? Do they even win?
Are we getting too caught up in how AU played last week and how Arky played? Or does La Mo really have a shot.
I don't think lamo has a shot, but I wouldn't take auburn as a double digit favorite against anyone right now. 17-7
Viagra to Shadow
La. Mo. likes to throw and about the only thing Auburn does well is rush the passer. I don't see La. Mo. being able to put together two wins over SEC teams. Auburn will get 6 points from their defense and 6 on a punt or kick return. Auburn 28 La. Mo. 10. Remember Arkansas led 28-7 at one point so its not like this was a nail bitter through all 4 quarters.
I expect Auburn to run a good bit of the zone read and a lot of runs up the middle and McCaleb to the outside. Any throws should be short passes to build KF's confidence.
With the looming implosion of Arkansas, that game just became a possible win on their schedule, and the coaching staff has to know that.
If you're Chiz & Co. you try and develop your team and play conservatively in the rest of your games to try and keep games close and hope someone steps up and makes a big play that puts you in a position to win.
You won't get any love letters from fans, but you just have to take another series of beatings from LSU, Alabama and Georgia, and hope you can get to 6-6 (then hope that 2010 MNC is enough to save your job, or hope Petrino takes a job in the NFL as an OC or QB coach and isn't interested).
I don't think Chiz is blind to the fact that if he goes 5-7, or worse, in year 4 he has problems. Remember, last year that team could have easily been where it is now after week two with a loss to Utah St. and Miss. St.
One thing I'll be interested to see is how Gus Malzahn does at Arkansas St. They're recruiting is great thus far, and if he can put together a 9-4, 10-3 or 11-2 season then we could see a race to Jonesboro between Arkansas and Auburn with Arkansas' 10 month contract with JLS being a big plus for them.
This post was edited by hines011 19 months ago
I remember my Dad told me once never bet for or against Auburn. You never know which team will show up. My gut says they will take out a lot of frustration on a team that is coming off a big win. I say AU by 3-4 TDs. And it won't mean anything.
This post was edited by bamamba1989 19 months ago
ULM has no shot in this game. They have been partying all week after that win. Teams like ULM can't sustain that type of gameplay week after week. The line is this big for a reason. Public perception is what Vegas bases their lines on week to week. Example Okie St won their game 84-0 week 1 and Arizona struggled to beat Toledo. Line was 11 at my book. Of course Okie St was supposed to kill Arizona based on each teams week 1 performances. Same scenerio fits here based on last week. Granted Auburn is playing very poorly but they still have SEC size, speed and talent. As much as it hurts me to say it but Auburn wins this game by 24 or more. Barn 41-17. If there are any bettors out there take emotion out of it and really think why the line is this high.
No way awbren holds ULM to 10 points. If aub is going to win this game they are going to have to find an offense, or at least somewhat of one. Let's not forget the pounding ULM put on Wilson because it was serious. This game is going to be very close IMO.
The weapons we fight with are not the weapons of the world. On the contrary, they have divine power to demolish strongholds. 2 Cor 10:4
I don't care.
Choose not a life of limitation
Auburn isn't scoring 41 points on anyone.
I think ULM is the better team on both sides of the ball. That said, I think the combination of this being the Barn's home opener, their utter desperation for a win, and ULM entering the game in a classic letdown situation will allow da Barn to squeak by with a 23-21 type of a win.
^^^ This ^^^
Auburn 31 La Monroe 17
Close for a while. Turnovers and big plays will help Auburn pull this one out.
Sounds about right.
I said before the line came out that I expected Auburn to win by 17. I hope I'm wrong but I see no reason to change that prediction.
Auburn - 30
ULM - 13
ULM should win this game against AU. Will they? As long as they come in focused they have a very good chance. If they dont win the game against AU it will be a close game. AU wont score over 14 points in this game IMO.
Does Monroe play the run fairly well? Obviously need to get Frazier in predictable passing situations. I assume (since the QB threw 67 passes) the Warhawks try to dink and dunk you to death on offense. If Willy Martinez plays his DBs soft, the Awbryn defense may be on the field for 40 minutes. The quick passes and resulting fatigue of the AU pass rush due to time of possession imbalance would give Monroe a chance to wear the tiggers down.
Offensely, Awbryn is in a box. If they are too predictable, Monroe stacks the box and gets Frazier into too many 3rd and 7s. I expect Loeffler will utilize swing passes on first down, Qb draws on second and long, and will take three or four shots downfield to back off the Monroe DBs. They don't have many options. Of course, if I can figure that out I expect the Monroe coaches have a pretty decent handle on it. If that doesn't work and Willy Martinez stays true to form, Monroe could win going away. About the only thing that makes me think they will disappoint is the betting line. It appears to be a classic sucker bet.
Im in a college weekly pool and have to factor in spread. I took ULM with the points. ULM might get beat but the barns O is plain bad. I suggest they punt away from returner and bang kickoffs into the zone and see how many 75yrd drives barn can put together
Barn, don't see LaMo getting back to back road wins in SEC.
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