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-Notre Dame has by far the lowest chance of 2-4 to get in. Didn't get as big of bump in the polls as expected. Next three games are soft, so not much they can do. Have to hope 2 teams in front lose or Oregon and K-State look sloppy. Also don't play on final weekend.
-Some voters not using eye test and look atresume instead- going off resume K-State could come out ahead of Oregon.
Oregon won't have one signature win like everyone else. Will have to hope enough voters use eye test. If four teams undefeated at end of year would be advantage to K-state with computers having chance to make up for difference in the polls.
-Notre Dame will be compared to how Oregon plays against USC and that common opponent along with Stanford will likely hurt the Irish.
-LSU winning over UA would likely end the SEC's national championship winning streak. If that happens, doesn't see likely scenario of one-loss SEC champ getting in over an undefeated Oregon, K-State, or ND.
-Still chance of something crazy happening with some of those four teams. Kansas State and ND particularly susceptible to losing.
-UA may not finish on top of computers but doesn't any scenario not in title if undefeated regardless of what else happens.
This post was edited by Charles Power 20 months ago
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i know its for discussion purposes but teams will lose rendering it a moot discussion.
I would find it hilarious if Notre Dame goes undefeated and doesn't get to play in the Title game. It would almost be as funny as AU in 2004.
No one thought Ok St would lose to ISU last year. Everyone was hoping OU would beat them. We were very lucky to get back in it because OU sucked last year. But it always happens like that. If Oregon has a 80% chance of winning each game of USC, Or St, and Stanford then odds are they lose one. The more teams you have like that then the odds get extreme for at least one loss.
This post was edited by bamamba1989 20 months ago
So if we win out we are in? If we lose we are likely not in? Intriguing.
It's still possible with a loss to A&M to make it in especially with a loss to one/two teams ahead of us, but it is highly unlikely if we drop this one to LSU without those two or more losses for the other teams.
No one thought Ok St would lose to ISU. Everyone was hoping OU would beat them. We were very lucky to get back in it because OU sucked last year. But it always happens like that. If Oregon has a 75% chance of winning each game of USC, Or St, and Stanford then odds are they lose one. The more teams you have like that then the odds get extreme for at least one loss.
hahaha that would be amazing.
Lou Holtz would absolutely lose his mind if that happened.
just what the heck does "-UA may not finish on top of computers but doesn't any scenario not in title if undefeated regardless of what else happens. " mean? I have tried to decipher that sentence but it doesn't make any sense.
You hear that Slive? Make sure those refs know who pays their salary!! (vbg!)
Not me. Especially not this year. We all know what USC would have done to AU in '04 and yet we still hear how AU got screwed. The truth is that it was a blessing for AU to NOT have to play in the Championship game that year - they barely got by an average VT team. USC would have destroyed them. And we'll destroy ND this year, if given the chance. I don't want to hear anyone trying make an argument against our claim if we finish like we should. Jmho
UA may not finish on top of the computers but he doesn't see any scenario where they are not in the title game if they are undefeated regardless of what else happens.
It's very poorly worded but the gist is: even if we aren't on top in the "computer rankings" but are ultimately undefeated that no matter what any other team does i.e. ND, KSt & Oregon all undefeated also, there is no chance Bama gets left out of the NC. I know you're thinking, well duh, everyone knows that but his basic point was regardless of what computers say, if we go undefeated, we're in. The others will fight it out amongst themselves over who gets left out but there isn't any scenario where we're left out regardless.
Would it have made more sense if he said,"
Regardless of the number of undefeated teams and no matter what the computer rankings, if Bama wins out, they're the only team guaranteed a spot in the NC"?
That's what I thought he was trying to say but his sentence structure wasn't even close. Good journalism.
He lost his mind ages ago. If that really happened, his head would explode. It would be hilarious to see Kansas St get in over the almighty Notre Dame.
He prefaced it by saying it was quick hitters. From the format I took it as though it was a shorthand way of quickly delivering info. The meaning was pretty obvious. Not sure why there was a problem understanding it.
Losing doesn't make me want to quit. It makes me want to fight that much harder-Coach Paul "Bear" Bryant
Notre Dame getting left out would be pay back for 1966,hope it happens.
IF IT FEELS GOOD,YOU AIN'T DOING IT RIGHT!
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