In partnership with CBSSports.com
The No. 1 'Bama fan community on the Internet
BOL message board for off-topic posts
Tailgating, recipes, cooking, food & drink
Buy, sell or swap tickets
You have no favorite boards.
The most viewed topics.
The most replied to topics.
The most up-voted topics.
The most down-voted topics.
The most up-voted posters.
The most down-voted posters.
The most followed posters.
I looked at 30 Mock Drafts to pull this data together. I did not look at any that have not been updated since the beginning of November. The purpose of this analysis was to determine who is likely to get darfted in the first round.
6 of the 30 mocks sampled had the first three rounds, and this data was considered as well.
10 players appeared in at least one draft, and 7 of them received at least 1 first round grade. The following is a breakdown of the data and an opinion based on it.
Dee appeared on all 30 drafts and received a first round grade in every one. If he decides to come out, he will be drafted in the first round, most likely as the 11th pick.
Highest Rank: 5 (3 instances)
Lowest Rank: 18
Most Common: 11 (5 instances)
Chance appeared on all 30 drafts and received a first round grade in every one. He will be drafted in the first round, most likely as the 15th pick.
Highest Rank: 7
Lowest Rank: 27
Most Common: 17 (5 instances)
CJ appeared on 19 of the 30 drafts, 17 as a first round choice. Based on the data, CJ will stand a good chance to be a first round choice if he decides to come out. I predict that he will come out, and that he will be selected with the 28th selection.
Highest Rank: 17 (2 instances)
Lowest Rank: 51
Most Common: 22 (3 instances)
Barrett appeared on 25 of the 30 drafts, 23 of them as a first round selection. Based on the data, Barrett will very likely be selected in the first round, and I predict that he will be the 27th selection.
Highest Rank: 15
Lowest Rank: 59
Most Common: 28 (5 instances)
Jesse appears on 18 of the 30 drafts, 14 of which he is a first round pick. Based on the data, Jesse has a fair chance of being a first round selection. A more likely scenario would be him going within the first 5 picks of round 2, let's say 34th overall.
Highest Rank: 18
Lowest Rank: 61
Most Common: 22, 29 (3 instances each)
DJ appears on 10 of the drafts, 6 as a first round selection. If he chooses to enter the draft, there is a 20% chance that DJ will go in the first round. The more likely scenario would be DJ being selected high second round, I'll go with the 11th pick R2, 43rd Overall.
Highest Rank: 21
Lowest Rank: 45
Most Common: 43 (2 instances)
AJ appears in one draft, as the overall #1 selection. I think it is safe to assume that AJ will not come out, but if he were to, I would guess he would be a 3rd Round selection, around the 68th overall pick.
Robert appears on 5 of the 6 drafts that went 3 rounds. He will likely be a late second round selection, somewhere around the 60th overall pick.
Highest Rank: 54
Lowest Rank: NR
Most Common: 60 (2 instances)
Eddie appears on 3 of the 6 drafts that went 3 rounds, at 37 twice and at 55 once. This information could be misleading, as most of the drafts were prior to the SECCG. His draft stock has gone up significantly, and if he decides to come out, he will likely be a high second round choice at the 39th overall pick.
Nico appeared on one draft as the 85th overall pick. Due to lack of data, I would guess that Nico will be a late 3rd to early 4th round pick.
*the median and average ranks only take into account the drafts they were listed in, and are not indicative of anything other than the respective prospects rank within those drafts.
There are a few others that could be drafted.
Michael Williams will get some long looks by numerous teams in the middle to late rounds. he has good size, a great work ethic, is a superior blocker and a serviceable receiver. I am of the opinion that he will be selected in the late fourth or early fifth round.
Damian Square could and should be drafted somewhere in the fifth round. He is smallish for a DT, but could make for a reliable back up DE in the league.
Quinton Dial has a high ceiling. He has a lot of work to do, but has the size and potential to become a starter in the league if he sets his mind to it. Someone should take a chance on him in the late rounds, or as an undrafted free agent.
Thanks for sharing. Good info.
nice. good job.
Excellent post. As someone who has a hard time finding this info/is too lazy, it's perfect.
Will be interesting to see where B. Jones and Fluker wind up eventually. With so many sets of eyes with varying perceptions, it's difficult to get a read. This was very helpful.
This may seem like much, but would you mind listing the sources you used? Such a list would be very helpful in my quest to conquer mock draft confusion.
Thanks! I absolutely do not mind. This site compiles all the mock drafts on the web. I used the most recent 30. I used it and the gray matter squashing around in my noggin. lol
Either this website doesn't exist or is not currently available.
This post was edited by Crimson2theCore 19 months ago
Not sure why the link says unavailable. It shows up when i set it up. Nonetheless, it still works, just click on 'unavailable'.
i bet the combine will help DJ Fluker out big time.Once they see him up close and personal. If he decides to go of course.
This post was edited by CrimsonTemplar 19 months ago
Him and Jesse both! I feel pretty confident we will have 4 first rounders for a 3rd consecutive year, but who knows, we actually have a shot at getting 6 in there. I definitely see 7-8 in the first two rounds if Eddie, CJ and DJ all come out.
Lacy deservedly got one hell of a review in that one
Combat Search and Rescue.... "that others may live".
Eddie Lacy would be a steal as a 3rd rounder.
"Good heads up play to recover the Lacy fumble at the goal line."
Nobody was paying attention. It was an easy scoop & score.
"McCarron had a pretty poor game up until it mattered the most . . . and really looked like a deer in head lights."
Same in the LSU & to some degree the TAMU games. He didn't play like a QB with a ton of big game experience in any of these games. Let's hope that changes against Notre Dame.
This post was edited by bama58 19 months ago
Very cool. Thanks for posting. Did I read that right that one draft has AJ as the overall #1 pick? Whoever is doing that mock may want to stick to his day job.
Amazing that we could have 4 first rounders again, possibly more. Even more amazing that we've lost 4 first rounders each of the past two years...and still came back the next year and made the national championship game. It's just not fair.
I take it you forgot the BCS Champ game last year...oh well...
awesome work there, thanks
Yes! lol. I almost didn't include it due to that but the rest of the draft looked to be in line with most.
Excerpt explaining his reason for predicting AJ at #1 overall.
1. Kansas City Chiefs : AJ McCarron, QB, Alabama
I know still McCarron at #1? There is just something about this kid, down by 12 against a phenomenal talent in Johnnie Manziel and Texas A&M, McCarron very nearly pulled off the win again after driving to beat LSU the week previously. With 8 minutes to go, he drove ‘Bama 94 yards for a quick touchdown, getting the ball back again with 4 minutes to go he drives them to the 1 yard line again, but unfortunately threw the interception. To be fair, the interception wasn’t his fault, the play was designed for him to get the ball out quick and let the receiver make a play, which obviously he didn’t.
He is a winner. End of story. If i were to liken him to a current pro based on their college performances, it would have to be Tom Brady. Call me crazy, but I see a lot of the same things: not great physically (bit skinny), wins games late with a good team, great intangibles and a burning desire to win games. I can see this guy being very special at the NFL level.
He is a junior, but given the weakness of the current QB class, AJ will certainly be enticed to enter the NFL draft. Especially if Alabama win back to back national championships and all his best lineman head for the NFL.
I actually kind of agree with the assessment - he doesn't have any of the real "wow" factors like Luck, Matty-Ice or the other recent Pro-Style QBs taken highly, but he has done some very impressive stuff at times. He can make all the throws, not that he does it often - but we also aren't an offense that asks for a lot of long throws, except off play-action, and even then it's not many. I think in the right system he could grow into a NFL QB, definitely not as a rookie, and definitely not at KC, but if he could get in behind a guy for 2 years (like Brady did) he could blossom into a really good QB.
"Once in awhile you get shown the light in the strangest of places you have to look at it right."
Bump because this is great information and this guy put a lot of time into it. Good stuff guy!
247Sports In partnership with CBS Sports