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We are sitting at 62 this morning, up 7 spots from yesterday. Our next opponent, Georgia, has moved all the way up to 111. If we can beat them on the road and beat USCE Saturday that will get us back in the mid 50s most likely. If that happens we are right back in this thing, amazingly.
It seems like everybody has bad losses, especially bad road losses. There are just so many mediocre teams this year, and so very few good ones. Conventional wisdom would say our tournament chances are shot, but this is a new era of college basketball in which mediocrity is rampant.
Only way we get in at this point IMO is to win out and win at least 2 games in the SEC tournament. Even then it may be a long shot.
Even if we get in the NCAA tournament we are a one and done team.
Lol if we did that we would be a lock in this field. There would be a good chance we win the SEC and are playing in the SEC tournament final. IMO think before you post.
Your last sentence might be true but the first one is not. If we win out with 2 SECT wins our RPI would be higher than u think. Beating UF would be the key IMO
“Yesterday is history, tomorrow is a mystery, today is a gift of God, which is why we call it the present.”
What's wrong with your math? According to you we are at 62 now and if we win 2 games we go to the mid 50's? Do you mean mid 70s?
What are you talking about?
RPI really doesn't matter right now anyways. This team isn't winning out and will not make it past the second round of the SEC Tournament.
Are you talking to and trying to convince yourself? You are the only one that said anything about winning out and games in SECT.
This is asinine.
If we win 6/8 going forward, that would put us at 13-5 SEC and (I think) 21-10 or so. Not impressive at all given schedule and conference strength. However, if we get to put 7 on the floor at a time and squeak one out against UF, our RPI would be high enough. I think we could actually benefit from the fact that nobody watches us play. They can look at numbers and decide, without being subjected to the Chinese torture that is Bama basketball.
Honestly I don't think Bama wins at UGA unless this team shows something it hasn't on offense. UGA is playing better right now.
If we lose at UGA the team probably finishes 11-7 in conference. Hopefully they find something on offense and then that could give them a chance to beat that mark.
Just being realistic. This team doesn't deserve a spot in the NCAA Tournament.
I wish you people would give up on trying to find a way for bama to make it to the NCAA tournament. We are just a bad team. As ugly as we play, we could lose any game left on our schedule. And no, this isnt a troll post, just me looking at our team without crimson glasses on.
The only way we are getting into the tournament is to win the SEC tournament, and there is a better chance that I will get struck by lightning than for that to happen.
I have been as vocal as anybody about my displeasure of this season. However I am not blind to the fact that this team could still make the tournament. As long as we are still alive I will still post accordingly whether we look like crap or not. Its not a beauty contest. If it was they would just go right to the Sweet 16 this season.
If we won out and reached the SEC Championship game (which we would in your scenario- by winning out, putting us at at least a 4 seed, then winning 2 tourny games) we would be an 8/9 seed. We certainly wouldn't be squeaking in. Yes, college basketball is that bad this year.
Depends on other bubble teams, but a 7-1 finish would put us in good position. 23 wins is the mark we have to hit to dance.
It is interesting though watching other bubble teams blow chances to move up this past week.
Iowa State: Lost at K-State putting them at 0-4 versus ranked teams away from ISU with 0 chances left
NC State: Sitting at 5-5 in conference play and dropping a seed line weekly
Air Force: Lost at Nevada to kill their chances at an at-large
BYU: Lost to San Francisco to severely damage their chances as they're now 18-8 after an 0-2 week
Baylor: Lost at OSU this past week and they're 15-8 but have 5 RPI games left while we only have 2
Minnesota: Lost at Mich State and they're now 5-5 in B10 play. A win today though and they end Illinois' season while staying firmly in the tourney for now(they have 4 tough games in a row after Illinois)
A team that is hard to figure out is Oklahoma. 15-7 with a big win over KU yesterday. They could easily finish 7-1 down the stretch to get into that 6/7 seed area but could also go 6-2 and see their seed drop to 8/9 easily.
We do need Oregon State to win tonight when they play Colorado. Their resume is better but they're also 5-5 in conference play.
Most of those teams have better resumes than us. I don't think any of them are in much danger today, though some could play their way on the bubble. Those are going to be your 8-10 seed type teams.
We are looking at teams like Illinois, Maryland, Virginia, St. John's, Villanova, Boise St., UMASS, St. Louis, Temple, Charlotte, Southern Miss, Arizona St, Stanford, Washington, St Mary's, Indiana St to fight it out for those last 6-8 spots.
Then you have teams like Belmont, Middle Tennessee, La Tech, Akron that could factor in as at large teams if the don't win their conf tourn.
Air Force and BYU would be behind us right now.
This post was edited by scott713h 17 months ago
UVA and St. Mary's are in IMO.
Illinois has to win today to get in. They can't fall to 3-8 in B1G play and finish well enough to dance.
Indiana State will fall to earth soon enough. MVC is still a 2-bid league with Creighton and WSU until someone else wins their tourney. ISU won't dance with 10 losses.
Southern Miss lost a big win last night. They still have to maintain since they couldn't beat Memphis. Their margin for error isn't very large.
On the positive side for Bama, Tulane won at Houston last night to move to 16-8. Possibility Tulane gets to 20 wins and doesn't look as bad as we initially thought.
Virginia's RPI today is 95. Their non conf SOS is 321. They have 6 losses outside the top 100 RPI. They are 5-0 against the top 100 RPI. Only 2 wins away from home. That's as bubble as it gets. And wrong side probably.
St. Mary's has a decent RPI, but they need to beat Gonzaga. Their best win is BYU and they have played 20 games against teams outside the top 100 RPI and lost 3. Their RPI is solid at 50, but that is no way considered safely in.
Indiana St. is in a much better spot than those two are. Their RPI is 46 a non conf SOS of 22. 4 top 50 RPI wins. Only thing holding them back is 4 losses outside the top 100 RPI. But I would say they are in good shape at the moment.
I agree with you on Southern Miss. They have zero top 100 RPI wins. They don't have a bad loss and their RPI is at 45. They are in trouble.
Illinois is going to be interesting. They have really strong SOS and RPI numbers, but a bad league record. They have 4 top 50 RPI wins and only two bad losses. I would say they are in if it ended today.
Edit: Virginia just grabbed a big road win at Maryland today. Their RPI will make a big jump into the 80's somewhere after that I would expect.
This post has been edited 2 times, most recently by scott713h 17 months ago
UVA's RPI will climb as they just won at Maryland to move to 17-6(7-3). They've got a big home game against Duke coming in a few weeks. If they hold serve at home and get a win at BC or FSU they'll be solidly in before the ACCT in Greensboro.
Good thing for SMC is they host Gonzaga, Creighton, and BYU this month. 1-2 through that locks them in because they won't lose at Pepperdine or Loyola. That puts them at 25-6 heading into the WCC tourney.
Thing with Indiana State is the overall record of 16-8. In a mid-major conference that won't cut it. They have to finish the season 5-1 and that 1 loss can't be to Wichita or they're toast. Even with a 6-0 finish they need to win 1 game in St. Louis.
Illinois' remaining schedule is a bitch. Trips to Michigan and Ohio State will be losses. They lose tonight and that's 10 league losses right there. 8-10 could get them in if they got a win in the B1G tournament that isn't against Nebraska or Penn State. I still think a 3-8 start to league play isn't something you'll see from a team that goes to the NCAA's.
"This is not a good team"
"This team could still get in the tournament"
Both are true statements.
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