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The Bubble and others from Saturday

  • First, from Friday night. West Viriginia had a huge opportunity at home against Marquette to get an almost lock bid. Marquette suspends 4 guys for parts of each half and West Virginia has a double digit HT lead. Then they lose. You can't let chances like that slip away when you are fighting for your tournament life. They are now at the back end of the tournament field after being in the 7 seed area only a few weeks ago.

    Now to Saturday's action: LSU got drubbed by Ole Miss on the road and pretty much sealed their fate to the NIT. Arizona picked up a much needed home win against UCLA to keep them alive for the final week. NC State dropped their game at Clemson in OT and may have put them on the outside looking in. Maryland lost at Georgia Tech to dash what slim chance they had. Memphis crushed Marshall on the road and probably locked up a bid and in the process ended Marshall's chances. Drexel picked up an impressive road victory over Old Dominion to continue the lead in the CAA. Texas pulled off a must win at Texas Tech to avoid a resume killing loss. I said earlier I thought Seton Hall had done enough, but really didn't need to lose at home to Rutgers, well they did and probably dropped a couple of seed lines with that and need to finish strong now. Dayton mauled UMASS in a double bubble game to stay in the hunt, UMASS is now finished. VCU grabbed a much needed victory over a good George Mason team and are in that group of about 8 trying to get in. BYU did what they needed to do against Portland and are still in good shape. Purdue locked up a bid with a very impressive win at Michigan and probably sealed Bama a top 50 win. Middle Tennessee State's at large hopes may have ended with their loss at Western Kentucky. Harvard lost at home to Penn and now if they don't get the automatic from the IVY will be an interesting case. St. Joe's grabbed a huge season changing victory over Temple and are now right in the thick of things. TCU blasted New Mexico at home to drag themselves into this thing as they have 4 or 5 impressive wins. Long Beach State won again and could be looking at an at large if they fall in the conference tournament. Central Florida kept whatever slim chance they had alive with a win over UTEP, who had just beaten both Memphis and Southern Miss. Xavier stayed in good shape with a home win over Richmond. Washington survived a scare at Washington St and should be in the field. Southern Miss almost completed their disaster but picked up a 2 point home win over Rice, but they have got to be dropping down the seed line at this point. Tenneessee stayed alive with a road win at South Carolina. Murray St got a scare at Tenneessee Tech and avoided a terrible loss. UCONN lost at home to Syracuse and need to finish the last week off strong to avoid being one of the last teams in or out. Northwestern got bailed out by the officials last night as they picked up a 1 point must win at Penn St and they are still right on the cut line. Colorado St lost at San Diego St and kept themselves squarely on the bubble, while San Diego St sealed their bid.

    A couple of thoughts on other games. Duke had to go to OT to beat Va Tech at home. They have struggled all season with athletic teams that are pesky like FSU, Miami and now this. I believe if we somehow get matched up with them that we could beat this bunch if we shoot the ball well. Our defense will drive them nuts because their guards are not the quickest they have had and they don't get a lot of points from the post. Notre Dame lost at St. John's. This is a team that probably doesn't need to mess around at the end because they were terrible in the non conference. Iowa St won at Kansas St and locked up at least a 10 seed, impressive victory. Florida lost at Georgia??? Those guys were looking at a possible 2 seed if they finished strong. Now they have a big game coming up against Vandy on Tuesday. Kansas beat Missouri in OT in the game of the day. What are series these two have played this season and I really hope they continue to get together after Missouri leaves for the SEC. North Carolina kept their #1 seed hopes alive with a win at Virginia.

    Now to our game. Hello NCAA for Alabama! Hello NIT for Mississippi St?? That was about as dominating a half that you can play and the way MSU laid down at the end says something about what is going on in Starkvegas. I think if they miss the NCAA's, $tansbury may be let go. As for us, we are playing for seeding. With the way things shook out yesterday and how they could in the final week a 6 seed is not out of the question for us. Our computer numbers are very impressive and if there is an eye test this bunch is passing with flying colors. Roll Tide!

    This post was edited by scott713h 2 years ago

  • I try to keep up with all if this info as well but thanks for summarizing. Really appreciate the effort.

  • Excellent info. Hard to believe we went from a terrible loss to Scar to probably a 6 seed and a team no wants to play right now. Pretty awesome

  • bamagreg85

    Very nice write up...Purdue will def help our testing. Dayton winning will help us too. If we hadn't dropped a bad loss to SC, we could be a 5 seed. I think Vandy drops to FL. I want another shot at Vandy...I think we beat them bad in a tourney rematch. KSU needs to win out and get to the tourney so the bad loss there will not hurt us.

  • thanks scott

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  • scottchap

    Great analysis.

  • South Florida just picked up a huge home win over Cincinnati by 1 on 2 late free throws by their true freshman point guard. I believe if they can split next week's games at Louisville and vs West Virginia they are going dancing. Stan Heath has done a remarkable job with that program.

    Minnesota is in a completely bubble bursting game at home against Indiana right now and they are down 37-26.

    A few others to keep an eye on today are: Iowa at Illinois, California at Colorado, Oregon at Oregon St, Florida St at Miami, and Akron at Ohio.

  • Theta

    We're to the point now where the bubble doesn't mean much to us. The bubble is rather weak this year anyway and we played our way off it with the win at Arkansas. Now we're just improving seeding from here on out.

    The Big East is weak when a team like USF is 11-5 in conference.

    Twitter: @ProducerAP

  • USF has really benefited from the unbalanced Big East schedule this season. They could very well end up like us last season, although they are going to finish with an RPI close to 50.