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I went back and watched the LSU game, like any sane Bama fan did, and noticied most of LSU's first downs came from getting us in our base 3-4 and throwing. I mean, they ate our 3-4 alive. In the past I know that's been our strength but wow, I was really surprised by...how surprised we looked. So I did a little more investigating and remembered what the Western Kentucky's analysis was about Bama's D was. He said the best chance to beat Bama was to throw to backs out of the backfield. Looking at other games we played, that was indeed when teams had the most success especially when they had two TEs and two backs. I love Nico, I think he's an awesome player and an awesome person. As Saban has said, each player has things they do well. Nico is a hammer in between the tackles and will stop the run quickly but he is NOT a great cover LB. I believe Georgia's plan will be to come out in Ace formations and I formations with an extra TE and let Aaron Murray throw. I'd love to see Mosley play the Will spot in our base a lot more. I think if we make that switch, and make sure we take away the edges, the game is ours to lose. Just my thoughts.
GREAT post and something I noticed in both the TAMU and LSU games. I guarantee you that little "weakness" has been "sewn up"...
1960 Les Paul
I'm keeping it simple. Georgia's OL give Murray enough time? If not, Bama will win big. If so, will be a very close game. I don't expect to see any gadgetery other than I won't be surprised to see GA go deep early and often on the first couple of series.
"Theres No Substitute for Guts"
UGA will try to attack us with play action early and often, while trying to get Mitchell in space with WR screens. They know they have to create some big plays in the passing game to win. They will pass to run, and try to score quick like A&M. I just dont see it happening. If we score TDs instead of FGs we will win this game
And thank goodness we don't have to do that Mush Rush junk against Murray. I think the game against LSU was the wakeup call more than anything and should have the staff on point in preparing the team for Georgia's offense. The OP is spot on and I agree that the Mosley situation will be corrected on Saturday...
PASS RUSH. We have zero pass rush. We gotta get Pagan and Pettway on the field a lot in the UGA game, imo. I see a lot of promise in those two guys. Dickson too.
I see them throwing to the rb's early. Those two must be a factor for them to have a chance. & I don't think that will come via the run imo.
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I know it is a no brainer but we have to pressure Murray early. I actually think we pressured Manziel pretty well early in the game but he was able to escape the pressure. Murray will not be able to escape like Manziel.
Also, our best defense will be our offense chewing up the clock. I am not afraid of their offense, however, I do respect it. They will be able to move the ball if our offense can't get our D off the field which was THE biggest problem against A&M and LSU at times.
This post was edited by jmadfrank 17 months ago
Why do you say we have zero pass rush?
We are tied for 5th in the SEC with LSU actually in sacks and we are tied for 2nd in the SEC with Ole Miss in terms of QB hurries. We don't rely on the blitz nearly as much as LSU or Ole Miss. We are not South Carolina but our pass rush is a lot better than UGA's right?
Or do you think our coverage is just so much better than other teams that it mask what is a very poor rush.
Just curious how you define zero pass rush?
Only partially agree...throwing out of base exposes Nico & Sunseri in coverage.
However I think ESPN had the stat that to beat Bama you have to run & not throw more than 20 times a game.
Yeah I think it's sewn up too. For one there is now better coverage people on the field in base and nickel. I fully expect UGA to throw early and often. It'll be interesting to see if CJ plays on first down too. I think he will.
By the way this is completely correct and I posted as much after the LSU game.
LSU's power running game is very very strong and we had to move to base to contain it. Early in the game we tried nickel and one time they actually went off tackle against the nickel on third and five for a new set of downs. Against the base they found mismatches mostly in the slot and exploited those effectively in the passing game. Nice game plan from them on offense. Despite that our D held up pretty well and was able to basically shut down the run after the early success despite being on the field for most of the game and having to rotate players. If TJY doesn't fumble and houses the easy TD in the third quarter, perhaps we could have managed the game better on offense.
The best thing about the LSwho game was it exposed this weakness. Our coaches saw first hand that our pass coverage in base 3-4 defense is very lacking. They saw that we clearly hadn't been preparing that aspect of our team enough.
My guess is that the base unit hasn't seen a lot of passing plays over the last few years. What WKU and LSwho did was out of the norm in college football. It caught us off guard and absolutely caught us unprepared. Neither should be the case now.
I think it will be interesting to see how much better guys like Nico are in pass coverage in this game versus a few weeks ago. My thought was that they aren't as physically limited as some would suggest but mentally weren't focusing on the right things. For lack of a better way of putting it they were caught peeking in the backfield on every snap cause that's all that unit has done for 3 or 4 years.
Now that they understand that too have to be balanced in their approach I expect to see them in better positions.
Lets hope so
That being the case, I'd be a threat to put CJ in our base defense. It seems that any time opposing offenses see Nico in our lineup, they can throw it with greater success.
This... CJ's just a playmaker, keep him on the field as much as possible.
I honestly have never understood why Mosely comes off he field.
More analysis. Any good X & O's fan knows the 3-4 has it's strength, i.e. defending the option (see last years championship game) and prevents inside traps where guards pull because they're usually doubling the NG. But, it also widens outside throwing lanes and gives the QB a clear shot to slants by the WR and outs by TE. Here again, if Murray throws inside it'll be imperative that either Nico or Trey will be there to tackle if Millner or Belue are on the WR's hip. This is why the 4th quarter program is so important. The best way to defend a good QB is to play man and give the D line time to get in the backfield. I've played DB in highschool and can tell you playing man will wear you out! That's why the longer the game goes, the more Smart will call zone plays. Zone and our 3-4 is killed us in the A&M game. If a WR is smart and squats in the hole (that expression makes me laugh for some reason), we're dead. I want to see more of our Jack fading into the flats to take away the inside throwing lanes and our Sam punishing the TE coming off the line and them him off the quick timing routes. More Jason Taylor, less Upshaw for this game!
The key to the game is simple: third down conversions. If we can get off the field on third down, consistenly, and convert at least 35 percent of our own third downs, we will win the game.
LSU almost beat us because we allowed them to throw with success on 3rd down. By the end of the game, we were gassed. A&M did beat us because they kept drives alive all day by throwing into tight windows or running to convert long third downs.
I don't care if it's third and long or third and manageable, we have to stop drives when we can. UGA will hit a couple of big plays on us. Their crowd will be into it. Weather the storm on those plays, hold them to field goal attempts when we can, and get off the field on 3rd Downs when they're between the 30s and it's ours to win.
I agree. It's the how we hold them on third downs I want to see how we sure up.
I think our safety play has to be better than it was against ATM and LSU.
For the first few years CNS was here, the weak part of our defense was the middle of the field 10-20 yards beyond the LOS. We were eaten alive on slants and square-ins. It's how South Carolina beat us in 2010.
This season, it seems like teams have owned us from the hash to sideline, particularly on the "boundary" side (the side of the field nearest the hash at snap.) A&M went after us all day on the hash and wider. LSU converted almost all of their big passes in the 2nd Half in the same area.
In large part, and this isn't to knock them personally, I think it's because Perry and even Lester have been slow with reads, and when they've made the break, they've taken bad angles opening up the window a bit more.
Theoretically, an intermediate or deep pass to the boundary when a defense is in cover 2 should be one of the most difficult throws a QB can make, but our CBs haven't done a good job of turning around and our safeties have been to shallow/flat in their coverage. We have to close windows in that 15-20 yard area on third down.
To me, this means (as someone else said) keeping CJ on the field and hoping our DL is good enough to slow their run. Lester and Perry can't be everywhere all the time. If they're worried about easy passes in front of them, Murray will have a field day hitting the same kind of passes Mett and Manziel hit. Make their slot guys a non-factor and then tee off on Murray.
+1 sir, I like it.
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