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ce1976
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wood78221
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SUYSF
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hcatbadat said...
I don't want to cover the entire subject of statistics here with you, but increased accidents give rise to higher probabilities of fatal ones.
In fact, we could make a ban bet on it. It's kind of a dark proposition, but I have the house edge on this one. In 2 years, the number of deaths associated with texting and driving will have increased, normalized against current rates.
So, pretty much enjoy your last 2 years on BOL. Your own e-Mayan calendar just began its countdown.
This post has been edited 2 times, most recently by BuriedAlive14 on 5/9/2012 at 10:26 AM
BuriedAlive14
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crimsonred124
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BuriedAlive14 said...
Since the law went into effect in Tennessee nearly two years ago, I have not worked a SINGLE fatality text related in my jurisdiction and I cover state, local, US, and Interstate roadways. People still text the same way as before. The only difference, when they see me.....they stop. The arguement that it takes away from other needs is ridiculous. We don't go out and do saturations for texting. The mindset of some people is crazy, and not referring to you but others in this thread.
Just a quick stat, a person texting and driving has the same reaction time and ability as someone with a BAC between .08-.10. The difference is obviously it can be corrected when they stop texting. This law is directly aimed at teenagers. Texting and
driving is a much larger problem with ages 16-21SUYSF
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crimsonbleeder
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SUYSF
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TJ2FAU163221
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crimsonbleeder
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hcatbadat said...
Your personal experiences do not jive with the national studies in other states. Nor do they provide insight into anything but the stretches of road you happen to patrol at any given moment.
Statistically, I am right about higher probabilities in fatal accidents. That's theoretical, I know. But if you place river bets based on local, bounded mathematics and experiences, then buddy we need to play poker together. Bring lots of money.
I'm happy the empirical probabilities have resulted in your witnessing zero text related deaths. But, it's a statistical anomaly.
I have friends that tell me all the time about crazy coincidences they can't believe like seeing an old elementary school friend in Times Square on New Years Eve. It really befuddles me just how little people are aware of fundamental statistical concepts.
BuriedAlive14
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OT Gov. Bentley signs bill to make texting while driving illegal