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RWarren11 said...
#2 and #3 are constants and can't explain the sudden change this year. #1 is true but UT and AU are always going to get their share of good recruits. The playing time argument could be made for them, too.
Deviations this large, no matter what the subject (year to year HRs ala Sosa/McGwire, year to year tax return amounts, etc) always warrant investigation.
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Jos Mit said...
**I hope this will end the conversation about Ole Miss's recruiting**
It is not very hard to understand or explain why big time recruits are really having interest in Ole Miss. And their recruiting is not exactly what it may seem.
The reason for the success:
1. BIG10, Tennessee, Auburn, and UGA - As you can see 2 5* players are from the north. Treadwell and Daniel, who are both 5*s because of the update to 32 players. Both are good talents...but neither had an offer from Alabama. The BIG10 has a bad rap right now, and the SEC is the most powerful conference in the country. Ole Miss also reap the rewards of Auburn and Tennessee being a disaster. Auburn usually pull the type of class Ole Miss has right now (which I will explain later), and Tennessee is usually able to take some recruits from various states, and after both teams went down in flames, Ole Miss had the upper hand. They also will get 4-5 (if you include Lawson) from the state of GA. Lawson would be 100% with AU if it wasn't for their disaster, and UGA cant seem to keep in state talent from leaving the state, and they have always had that problem. We did not pursue Lawson till late, and honestly was probably never near the top of our board. These 4-5 players from GA either they fell into them (Lawson and RN) or they didn't get pursued by the big SEC schools.2. Playing time - this one explains itself, but with these kids that sticks out to them. They see that Ole Miss is on the rise (compared to the others they were committed to, or visited) and that they get to join a team and be on the field in the SEC next year.
3. Atmosphere - Big time party school, and has a great gameday atmosphere.
So looking through these recruits, only 1 of them (that is committed right now) has a legit offer from Alabama, anyone want to guess where he is right now? Visiting Alabama.
Eventually they will most likely sign Nkemidiche, Conner, and Lawson as their final 5* players. If Chris Jones leaves Miss State I will be surprised, and Tunsil has said his top2 is Alabama and UGA and I don't expect that to change after this visit. That will end them with 6 5* players, 2 from up north, 2 that fell into their laps, and 2 right down the street. So lets look at the rest of the class and see what we have....15 3*s, and 4 4*s (one from Tenn and 3 from their Home State)In comparison
Auburn: 88.26
Ole Miss: 88.17
Alabama: 92.24
Florida: 91.4
LSU: 91.19
UGA: 89.14What do I see from this list? Ole Miss will gain some better average and maybe be around 90. UGA has had a down year in terms of recruiting, just look at how many recruits are leaving the state. LSU, Alabama, or Florida don't let the likes of Ole Miss in their state to grab recruits. We will sign 3 3*s (Cole Mazza does not count because he is the best at his position), Ole Miss will sign 16 3*s! Guess who else will sign 16 3*'s? UGA, South Carolina, Tennessee. None of these classes have any depth, and most importantly most of these schools have signed kids who are not recruited by UF, LSU, or Alabama.
Also if Auburn keeps Lawson, after the dumpster fire, they may have a comparable class to Ole Miss.
They have signed 1 Secondary player. Yep 1...they will most likely land Conner and will not sign 1 CB in this class and settle for 1 2* S and a 5* S. Lets look at their LB's now - 2 both 84 3*s. They will sign 2 3* QB's, and they will also only have 2-3 OLine, and 2 of them are a low 83 rating.
Ole Miss will look good on a video game recruiting wise (and it is a great top heavy class), but with no one to block and no one to throw to the WR, and everyone throwing on their secondary. They have zero depth in this class. I will not worry about Ole Miss recruiting until they start to pull 4*s on a consistent basis. But that will only mean things are not looking good at Auburn, Tennessee, or UGA.
We will look back at this years class, and see that Ole Miss struck gold on Nkemdiche and Conner, but the rest of this team will look like AU at all positions besides DLine. Remember in the end we didn't offer but 4 players who will sign with Ole Miss most likely. JUCO DL, Nkemdiche (whos brother is on the team), Lawson (who we didn't offer until 2 months ago), and Conner (who has us in the Final 2).
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Darth Tider said...
Good post.... But Ole Miss with six 5* recruits? That's USC ish, hell, thats more than we may have. It's a free country and I pay to post on this board so I am entitled to an opinion and here it is. I don't care how anyone tries to rationalize their extreme success, something is going on in Oxford. They are Ole Miss and have NEVER had this many top recruits. You don't get from mediocre recruiting to excellent over night unless something is going on!!! They are not Alabama, or USC, their name brand is no where near ours!!! While, I love our class and think we beat Ole Miss, I will say that I think there is $$$$ involved. If it walks like a duck, it must me a duck. ROLL TIDE!!
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DEHIII said...
Good post.
Personally, I am not one to simply just assume some team is cheating when they beat us for a recruit or when they do better then their history. It happens for sure. But I am not going to sit here and simply throw out crap without 1 shred of evidence simply to explain something. Sounds like the sour grapes from many rival fans that accuse UA of using PEDs when there isn't one bit of evidence about that to explain away why they getting their ass beat by Bama.
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Darth Tider said...
Agreed, good post, but I dont have sour grapes. I knew RK and Connor were Ole Miss locks, but the others are hard to understand. I will simply say this in response to your statement about a shred of proof and im not flaming you at all, but what about Cam Newton, the NCAA dud not come up with any proof. Do you still believe his recruitment was on the up and up? Bottom line is recruiting can be a very dirty business. By the time proof comes out about Ole Miss, AU, USC (Reggie Bush) all the players in question will be gone. The NCAA simply takes too long. I love Bama and I'm happy with our class, coaching and program. I'm simply stating that it is my strong belief that there are incentives going on in Oxford. Can I prove it?, no, but just because I believe it does not mean it's sour grapes . Just because I point out a fact about something does not mean that I am pissed because we got out recruited, I never said that we did. However, we are Bama and they are Ole Miss. There is normally a huge difference in recruiting. There is most definitely a big difference in our programs. Hello, there are many more programs with more history, money, recruiting pull than Ole Miss. OLE MISS will never be Bama!!! The MSU people over here are pissed, they are digging big time on Ole Miss.
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